We use our latest (as of 2026 Q1) AI-based economic scenario generator (ESG) to generate hundreds of economic scenarios. All generated scenarios are based on the Q4 2025 starting point and cover 20 quarters (5 years). The scenarios have 12 macroeconomic variables: In the following sections, we illustrate the distributions of economic variables within the […]
Category: Oil price
Crude Chronicles: The Fascinating History of Oil Price Movements
Few commodities have shaped the modern world quite like oil. The ebbs and flows of this black gold have influenced geopolitics, sparked economic booms and recessions, and transformed entire countries. We explore the dramatic history of oil price movements starting from the late 1970s, discuss price crashes of the 1980s and 2014, consider the impact […]