We outline four economic scenarios and examine how the key macroeconomic variables evolve within each. The example scenarios described here are randomly selected from thousands of scenarios generated by our proprietary AI model.In all illustrated economic scenarios, 2025 Q4 is the last actual period, and 2026 Q1 is the first generated period. For this discussion, […]
Tag: Recession
Economic Signals in Metal Markets
Metal markets often shift before headlines do, offering a quiet preview of economic cycles. The price movements of metals usually reflect changes in industrial demand, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic trends. While their relationship with broader economic indicators is complex and multifaceted, decoding these patterns can reveal powerful insights into the direction of the economy. Despite […]
A Few Economic Scenario Examples Generated by AI, 2025
We present a few specific economic scenarios and discuss the behavior of the underlying macroeconomic variables. The scenario examples described here are not cherry-picked but rather randomly selected from thousands of scenarios generated by our proprietary AI model.In all illustrated economic scenarios, 2024 Q4 is the last actual period, and 2025 Q1 is the first […]
A Few Economic Scenario Examples Generated by AI, 2024
One important aspect of economic scenario generators (ESG) is their ability to capture stylized facts observed in the historical data. Examples of stylized facts include but are not limited to, correlations between macroeconomic indicators, leading and lagging effects, level-dependent dynamic relationships, and even inverse relationships during stress periods. In this blog, we present a few […]