Metal markets often shift before headlines do, offering a quiet preview of economic cycles. The price movements of metals usually reflect changes in industrial demand, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic trends. While their relationship with broader economic indicators is complex and multifaceted, decoding these patterns can reveal powerful insights into the direction of the economy. Despite […]
Category: Macroeconomic indicators
A Few Economic Scenario Examples Generated by AI, 2025
We present a few specific economic scenarios and discuss the behavior of macroeconomic variables we observed. The scenario examples discussed here are not cherry-picked but rather randomly selected from thousands of scenarios generated by our proprietary AI model.In all illustrated economic scenarios, 2024 Q4 is the last actual period, and 2025 Q1 is the first […]
Stylized Facts in Economic Scenarios
Economic scenarios are often highly complex, shaped by monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, bilateral trade agreements, labor market dynamics, and a host of other interrelated factors. This complicated reality of economics often requires a simplified interpretation to understand the underlying patterns and dynamics within scenarios. Stylized facts serve as guiding stars in navigating vast amounts of […]
Correlation Between Macroeconomic Indicators
Economic indicators play a vital role in measuring the health of an economy. Some important macroeconomic indicators are the unemployment rate, consumer price index (or CPI which measures inflation), gross domestic product or GDP, disposable income, short-term and long-term interest rates (such as Fed Funds rate and Treasury rates), house price index, and stock market […]